For those that haven’t realized it yet, Ron Paul’s campaign strategy is to be the last anti-Romney candidate standing. The media propped up Santorum in Iowa to prevent a second or first place finish for Paul, and it looks like in New Hampshire it is a possibility that Huntsman could take second, and Paul third.
A third place finish for Paul might be depressing for many of his supporters, but they wouldn’t be looking at the big picture. Something like 70% of Republicans do not want Mitt Romney to be the nominee. They’ve been looking for someone else for a long time. They went to Bachmann, Perry, Cain, Gingrich and now Santorum.
Cain is out, due to the sexual harassment stories that came to light. Bachmann is now out despite her claims that she was witnessing thousands of supporters leaving Paul to come support her campaign in Iowa. Gingrich has been going down after a very disappointing finish in the Iowa caucuses, partly as a result of Paul’s devastating attacks on him. Ron Paul’s campaign has already started to do the same to Santorum in South Carolina, and he is not expected to do well in the New Hampshire primary tomorrow.
Huntsman is going up in New Hampshire, and like I said, may get second, but so what? Huntsman has gone all in and has no organization in any other state, not to mention the fact that he’s not considered to be a very conservative candidate, something that is a must if you are to be the anti-Romney.
There are only two candidates with national organizations and the money and support to compete in all of the states, and those candidates are Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. In fact, as it stands right now, Romney and Paul are the only candidates that will be on the Virginia ballot, since none of the other candidates were able to turn in the signatures required.
If Huntsman has no where to go after New Hampshire, and Santorum goes down in South Carolina once the voters start finding out more about him, who will be left to compete with Romney? The pundits have been trying to convince us that it is inevitable that Romney will be the nominee, and this is understandable since it looks like Romney will end up taking the first three states, as he is also currently leading in South Carolina.
However, let’s not forget that Republicans still don’t like Mitt Romney and after South Carolina there will be forty seven states left to vote. No candidate will be left that can go up in the polls at the last minute escaping scrutiny, and what other candidate will have the money and organization to be able to compete in those remaining states?
Ron Paul’s campaign has been careful not to attack Mitt Romney for they see a Romney/Paul race as their best chance to pull of a victory. Once it is clear that Romney and Paul are the only choices left, Mitt better watch out. Ron Paul has the money and his campaign has been releasing the best ads of the campaign season. Combine that with Republicans’ dislike for Romney, and I don’t see how it can be a given that Romney wins the nomination.
- What Happened in the Virgin Islands? Did Ron Paul Win or Did Romney?
- How the Media Won Iowa
- The Ron Paul Surge
- Isn’t Ron Paul the Clear “Bizarro” Romney?
- Is Ron Paul Gunning for VP?